|
ViaMar AS is an independent shipping market analyst, comprising of three
analysts with over 60 years combined experience in shipping. Our analysts
have broad industry experiences, including commercial management as ship-owners at
a senior management level, experience in ship brokerage, and long careers as
shipping market analysts. We work as a close and independent advisor for a
growing number of clients. ViaMar AS's sole commercial activity is the
production of analytical reports, data and research support in a close and
confidential manner. We function as an out-of-house analyst for ship-owners,
traders, charterers and financial institutions.
Our gas market analysis
is updated every quarter. The forecasting horizon is 5 years forward and the
analysis includes the following elements:
-
World economic outlook; Oil price development and economic growth in the
key regions, the United States, OECD Europe, China, Japan and the rest
of Asia
-
Supply
developments; historic and expected LPG fleet developments, hereunder
expected scrapping-,
storage and shipbuilding activity for LPG ships.
-
Demand
developments; an
analysis of the expected future seaborne trade of LPG, ammonia and the
petrochemical gases; ethylene, propylene, butadiene and VCM.
-
Through
a comparison between supply and demand, we estimate the future gas fleet
utilization rate for the main size groups. From the utilization rates we
derive ViaMar AS’s forecasts for future earnings for relevant ship
types and sizes; SR LPG 3.200 cbm, SR LPG 6.500 cbm, LPG/E 8.200 cbm,
FR LPG 35.000 cbm, and a FR LPG 78.000 cbm.
-
We have a separate program for analyzing and estimating gas ship new
building prices and second hand values (see Shipvalues).
|
