ViaMar's models follow roughly the same structure, as illustrated by the dry bulk schematic (bellow) Of course, our models allowing for differences in the structures of the markets analyzed, making emphasis on the individually important aspects of that market. In combining a broad and historically long database (containing a detailed coverage of the majority of demand, a detailed coverage of the fleets and fleet properties, and a vast and continuously updated macroeconomic coverage) with advanced modelling techniques and 60 years of shipping experience, we provide our clients with a consistent and structured basis for decision making

The main driver of the ViaMar model is the global business environment. Our starting point is therefore an assessment and forecast of the macro-economic developments in the US, OECD, Europe, China, Japan and Other Asia as individual regions. Attention is also paid to the outlook on oil prices. It is economic developments that generate commodity demand, which again generates the seaborne trade through regional balances. Seaborne trade is then transformed to demand by combination with distances and fleet productivity.

After the demand for vessels is analyzed, we turn to supply. The future and recent developments of new orders, vessels deliveries, scrapping of old tonnage is assessed. Since we cover different markets, we have a good basis for evaluating combination tonnage as well. 

The relative outlook on demand and supply tells us how future utilization will develop – utilization being the prime input in the earnings forecast for any market. Making sure that earnings and market behaviour is logical by our experience, we have a quarter-to-quarter Base Case forecast of the market at hand